As a value investor, I am totally cognizant of the reality
that attractively valued bargains are hard to find in a strong bull market.
Moreover, as an experienced value investor I clearly understand that low
valuations in a raging bull market are usually associated with issues and
challenges sometimes real, sometimes imaginary. The key to success is to
identify when current problems are temporary, thereby creating long-term
opportunity.
With that said, there are a couple of other aspects of value
investing that need to be recognized and understood.As a committed value
investor, I will never invest in a stock unless I consider it attractively
valued. With extremely high quality companies this can simply mean that
valuation needs to be sound or reasonable. With less-than-stellar companies,
valuations need to be extremely low to be of interest. Nevertheless, I will
never knowingly overpay for even the best of businesses. On the other hand,
just because a company is fairly valued doesn’t automatically make it investment
worthy.
My point being that although attractive valuation is a
critically important investment consideration, it is not the only
consideration. From this perspective, valuation is primarily a risk assessment
metric more than it is a return assessment. Furthermore, I believe that a
comprehensive and thorough research and due diligence effort should be
conducted before ever investing in any common stock. However, that requires
time and effort on the part of the investor.
Consequently, I will not waste my time or take this
important step unless I believe that valuation is attractive enough before I
start. To me, as a committed value investor, there is little that is more
frustrating than getting all excited about a possible stock investment only to
determine that its current valuation is excessive. Unfortunately, it is hard to
find attractively valued best-of-breed stock investments when markets are high
like they are today. Unless, of course, the company is faced with issues that
Mr. Market is concerned about.
Nice article mate. I have not analysed CAH myself. But, on multiple dividend blogs I have noticed buy ratings.
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