October 17, 2017

Nike Inc (NKE) Stock Is Overvalued and Vulnerable as a Dividend Stock

NKE is transitioning as retail struggles, now is not the time to buy.



It is almost impossible to find a large cap name at a decent price in the stock market these days. That’s because the stock market is now the second most expensive in history. Nike, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) regrettably doesn’t break that mold. Still, does NKE stock make sense for the dividend investor.  Is the Nike stock dividend safe?

Let’s take a look at its most recent quarterly results, which are for Q1 of FY18.

Nike stock delivered revenues of $9.1 billion, which was flat compared to the previous year. About 95% of this revenue was generated from the Nike brand itself, and the other 5% from Converse, although Converse revenues were down 16%.

It’s the gross margin numbers that show how tough things are for retail these days, with a 180 bps decline to 43.7%. Part of this was due to lousy currency exchange rates, but management said the rest was due to “a higher mix of off-price sales.” In other words, Nike had to discount to get product out the door.




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